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BRICS Moves to Bypass the Dollar

BRICS Moves to Bypass the Dollar
  • BRICS nations are advancing a payment system that could reduce global reliance on the U.S. dollar.
  • A shift away from dollar-based trade may weaken purchasing power and increase long-term inflation risks.
  • Physical gold can help protect your finances from the most severe consequences of de-dollarization.

A Dangerous Shift in Global Finance

What happens to your retirement savings if the world stops needing the dollar?

The question is no longer theoretical. Later this year, India will chair the 2026 BRICS summit in New Delhi. They are set to formally propose a new cross-border payment system. It would let member nations trade and settle transactions entirely without the U.S. dollar.1

Backed by a bloc representing over 40% of global GDP by purchasing power parity and nearly half of the world’s population, the plan carries significant global weight.2 It could fundamentally reshape the financial world your retirement depends on.

What India Is Proposing — And Why It’s Different

India’s proposal did not emerge in isolation. It builds on the 2025 BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro, where leaders advanced plans to accelerate de-dollarization.3

BRICS Moves to Bypass the Dollar

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The Reserve Bank of India wants to connect BRICS digital currencies into a unified system. They aim to speed up cross-border payments for trade and tourism. At the same time, it would give member nations a practical alternative for settling trade outside the dollar.

It is being compared to Brazil’s existing PIX system, a real-time digital transfer network that moves money instantly between people, companies, and governments. Only now picture it scaled up across 10 nations and trillions of dollars in annual trade. 5

Though quiet, the threat to the dollar’s value could be profound. Such an infrastructure shift can allow global trade to simply move around the dollar, reducing its role without ever directly confronting it.

The Dollar’s Vulnerability Is Real

For decades, the U.S. dollar’s dominance has rested on a simple reality: almost all global trade is priced and settled in dollars. It created constant worldwide demand for the currency, which supports its value, keeps inflation in check, and allows the U.S. to borrow cheaply. Strip that away, and the foundation shifts.

The majority of trade is still denominated in U.S. dollars. But that is changing quickly. Intra-BRICS trade reached $1.17 trillion in 2024, representing 13-fold growth since 2003. China and Russia have already moved roughly 90% of their bilateral trade to local currencies, primarily yuan and rubles. 6

President Trump has threatened BRICS nations with steep tariffs if they pursue de-dollarization. But China is offering zero-tariff policies for less developed countries as a counter. The result is growing global trade uncertainty as economic alignments shift and change over time.

Meet “The Unit” — BRICS’ Test Currency

In a groundbreaking initiative, the BRICS nations launched a working prototype of a gold-backed digital currency callecd “The Unit” in December 2025.

Each Unit is pegged to 1 gram of gold, with reserves comprising 40% gold and 60% BRICS currencies. It isn’t a consumer currency. It is designed to let BRICS nations price and settle deals in something other than dollars. The gold anchor is deliberate: it gives the instrument credibility that purely fiat alternatives lack. 7

BRICS Moves to Bypass the Dollar

BRICS and Gold

BRICS nations have been quietly stockpiling the asset that thrives when dollar confidence erodes. Between 2020 and 2024, BRICS+ central banks accounted for more than 50% of all sovereign gold purchases globally. They’re building the reserves that can support a different kind of financial system.

There is a clear reason behind it. As BRICS countries develop new payment systems and explore gold-backed mechanisms, gold serves a unique role. It does not rely on any single nation’s credit or policy. It holds value across currencies and political systems, which makes it a natural anchor during periods of financial transition.

The Unit and the CBDC payment bridge are two pieces of the same puzzle. Together, they represent a comprehensive, ground-up effort to make the dollar optional, then unnecessary, for a bloc representing nearly half of humanity.

Conclusion

Change happens slowly, then all at once. The looming impact of de-dollarization isn’t abstract.  Import prices will rise. Inflation will increase. The purchasing power of dollar-denominated assets such as stocks, bonds, and cash savings can erode. For Americans approaching or in retirement, the risk is real.

For those thinking long-term, preparation is key. As the BRICS pursue gold-backed frameworks, demand for gold rises, putting upward pressure on prices. Physical precious metals held in a Gold IRA can help protect the value of your savings from a changing world order, one where the dollar’s role is no longer guaranteed.

The BRICS summit is coming. The proposal is on the table. The pilot currency is already running. Don’t wait for the shift to prepare for it.

Call American Hartford Gold at 800-462-0071 today to learn how a Gold IRA can help secure your financial future.

Notes:
1. https://watcher.guru/news/india-to-pitch-brics-payment-system-similar-to-brazilian-pix
2. https://theworlddata.com/brics-2026-statistics/)
3. https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2026/04/21/rbis-digital-currency-proposal-for-the-brics-2026-agenda/
4. https://www.fxcintel.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/BRICS-CBDCs-map.png
5. https://asiatimes.com/2026/01/brics-laying-first-tracks-for-new-global-payment-system/)
6. https://www.riotimesonline.com/brics-2026-complete-guide
7. https://tfiglobalnews.com/2025/12/19/brics-gold-backed-unit-the-first-real-crack-in-dollar-dominance/

The Retirement Wave Reshaping Markets

The Retirement Wave Reshaping Markets

The Retirement Wave Reshaping Markets

Markets Face a Demographic Shift

Americans face a quiet shift in wealth as the baby boomer generation retires en masse. Born between 1946 and 1964, boomers hold a massive chunk of the nation’s financial assets. Their move from saving to spending will reshape markets over the next two decades. Younger cohorts like Gen X and millennials lack the numbers and savings rates to fully offset this change.

Stock prices rely on steady demand from new buyers. Without enough of them, valuations face downward pressure. Americans can prepare for this shift now, with physical gold offering a way to safeguard portfolio value.

Demographic Impact

Population age structures influence economic forces. Japan provides a clear example. Its stock market has struggled for decades amid a shrinking workforce and rising retiree population. Working-age adults drive corporate growth through labor and consumption. Retirees draw down savings to cover living expenses.

Boomers represent about 20 percent of the U.S. population but control over 50 percent of stock market wealth, according to recent Federal Reserve data. Their peak earning years fueled the long bull market since the 1980s. Households headed by those over 65 already own 30 percent of all equities, as they now retire in droves. 1

Gen X numbers only 65 million, far short of the 76 million boomers. Millennials total around 72 million but carry heavy student debt and homeownership hurdles. Many delay major investing. A 2025 Gallup poll showed just 57 percent of Gen X and millennials own stocks, compared to 68 percent of boomers. Lower participation rates mean less capital flowing into equities. Pension funds and 401(k)s once absorbed boomer savings. Those vehicles now mature into payouts. The net result squeezes demand.2

Economists have studied this pattern for years. A Brookings Institution review of global research found consistent links between aging populations and lower equity returns. Countries with more retirees see reduced savings rates and slower capital formation. Brookings scholars noted that stock prices correlate with the ratio of middle-aged savers to retirees. When retirees dominate, asset prices adjust lower over time. U.S. data mirrors this trend. The prime investing age group, 35 to 54, will shrink relative to those over 65 by 2035.3

Why Stocks Face Pressure

Retirees sell assets to generate income. Boomers plan to withdraw trillions from retirement accounts through 2040. Vanguard estimates $4 trillion in annual distributions from 401(k)s alone by decade’s end. Not all sales hit stocks directly. Bonds and real estate play roles. Still, equities bear much of the load. 4

AHG CHART

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Corporate earnings depend on population growth. An older America means fewer workers and consumers. Labor force expansion, which averaged 1.5 percent annually post-World War II, now hovers near zero. Productivity gains help but cannot fully replace headcount.

JPMorgan analysts highlighted this risk in a 2024 report. Aging drags on GDP growth, which curbs profit expansion. Slower earnings growth translates to modest stock returns at best. Historical cycles bear this out. The U.S. market enjoyed tailwinds from a rising worker-to-retiree ratio from 1965 to 2000. Reversals followed. Japan’s Nikkei peaked in 1989 as its demographics soured. European markets stagnated through the 2010s for similar reasons. Academic papers quantify the effect. One study in the North American Journal of Economics and Finance pegged a 10 percent rise in the retiree share to a 15 percent drop in stock returns over five years.6

Younger investors add complexity. Many favor real estate or crypto over traditional stocks. Home affordability issues sideline their savings. Student loans consume cash flow. Meanwhile, boomers are living longer. Average retirement now spans 20 to 25 years. Prolonged drawdowns amplify selling pressure. Central banks cannot fix structural demographics. Rate cuts spur short-term rallies but fail against long-term supply gluts in equities.

Protect Portfolio Value

Gold has historically held up when stocks struggle, often moving higher during periods of market stress.

Recent moves reinforce that pattern. Gold surged more than 60% in 2025 alone, one of its strongest annual gains on record, as uncertainty weighed on traditional assets.

Looking ahead, major institutions still see upside. JPMorgan Chase is forecasting gold could reach roughly $6,300 per ounce, with multiple banks calling for $6,000+ levels.7

Gold is not tied to corporate earnings or economic growth. Its role is different. It can help preserve purchasing power when conditions shift and markets come under pressure.

Even in retirement, portfolio value still matters. Income, withdrawals, and legacy planning all depend on it. Consider speaking with American Hartford Gold to learn how a Gold IRA can help protect your portfolio. Call 800-462-0071 today.

Notes
1. https://thedeepdive.ca/baby-boomers-control-54-of-us-stock-wealth-despite-being-21-of-population/
2. https://news.gallup.com/poll/266807/percentage-americans-owns-stock.aspx
3. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-link-between-aging-populations-and-lower-equity-returns/
4. https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/articles/retirement-plans-trillions-withdrawals.html
5. https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/great-boomer-selloff-may-overwhelm-us-stocks-2025-05-23/
6. https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/research/aging-demographics-equity-risks-2024
7. https://www.reuters.com/business/jp-morgan-sees-year-end-2026-gold-price-6300-per-ounce-2026-02-25/





 

Central Banks Drive Gold’s Next Move

Central Banks Drive Gold’s Next Move
  • Central banks are steadily increasing gold purchases, reinforcing long-term demand and price support.
  • Rising global debt and declining dollar dominance are accelerating the shift toward gold.
  • Protecting your finances with physical gold can help preserve stability in uncertain markets.

Central Banks Set the Tone

Gold prices have swung sharply amid rising global tensions. As investor confidence wavered, central banks kept buying, reinforcing gold’s long-term trajectory. Resilient central bank demand is helping create a solid floor under the market, strengthening the case for adding physical precious metals to a portfolio.

Central Bank Transactions

Central banks are not trading gold for quick gains. Their decisions are guided by long-term strategy. Even as prices have climbed, buying has continued.

1

Annual purchases have exceeded 1,000 tonnes each year since 2022, roughly double the amount seen in earlier years. Many institutions have continued buying even as gold traded above $4,600 per ounce, viewing temporary pullbacks as opportunities to add rather than reasons to step away.2

Short-term volatility still occurs. Some countries, such as Turkey, sell gold during periods of stress to support liquidity. These moves can create short-term pressure, but the broader trend of steady accumulation remains strong.

Why Central Banks Continue to Choose Gold

The global move toward gold gained momentum after 2022, when the freezing of $300 billion in Russian reserves exposed the risks of holding assets abroad. After that, nations sought safer stores of value under their own control.3

Gold plays a unique role in the global financial system. It is often described as “no one’s liability,” meaning it isn’t tied to another country’s debt or financial promises. Unlike government bonds, it stands on its own.

Rising global debt has made that distinction more important. Global debts surpassed $300 trillion in 2025. Expanding deficits are weakening confidence in traditional paper assets. Gold provides a way to store value outside that system.4

Diversification has also become a priority. The U.S. dollar’s share of global reserves fell to about 57 percent in 2025, its lowest level since 1994. Surveys show 73 percent of central banks expect the dollar’s reserve share to fall further in the coming years. Meanwhile, 43 percent plan to increase their gold holdings. 5

Inflation pressures continue worldwide, with many economies still facing above-target price growth. Gold remains a time-tested way to help preserve purchasing power during those periods.

A Global Realignment Is Underway

China has been one of the most active buyers, increasing their gold reserves for 17 consecutive months. Other countries are moving in the same direction. BRICS nations collectively hold more than 6,000 tonnes of gold, raising their share of global reserves significantly. Russia and China together control nearly three-quarters of that bloc’s total holdings.6

Repatriation has also become more common. Countries such as Germany and France have moved large portions of their gold back within their own borders. Physical control provides direct access and reduces dependence on foreign storage systems.

Another potential development could come from Saudi Arabia. The Kingdom’s current gold holdings represent just 2.6 percent of its reserves. If Saudi Arabia raises its allocation to 5 percent, it will need to purchase roughly the entire projected central bank demand for 2026. Such a move could shift global pricing and supply balance.7

Central Banks Drive Gold’s Next Move

Growing Demand Meets Limited Supply

Central bank demand now accounts for roughly one-fifth of global annual mine production. Supply has not expanded at the same pace. That demand is amplified by growing institutional and individual investor gold exposure.

Market conditions can still create short-term swings. Geopolitical events, energy shocks, and currency pressures can lead to temporary selling. But central bank demand continues in the background, helping establish a floor in the market.

Institutional Outlook Points Higher

Major financial institutions are recognizing the same trend. Several large banks have issued forward price targets that reflect continued strength.

Deutsche Bank has projected gold could reach $6,000 per ounce. JPMorgan has set a target near $6,300. Société Générale has also pointed to $6,000 and described that level as conservative.8

Conclusion

Central banks are positioning for a more uncertain future. Their actions show how large institutions think about stability, liquidity, and long-term protection.

Gold is being treated as a foundation, not a short-term trade. It offers independence from financial systems.

Individuals can take a similar approach. Holding physical gold in a Gold IRA provides a way to diversify beyond traditional assets.

For those who want to learn more, speaking with a specialist at American Hartford Gold can help clarify how physical gold may fit into a broader strategy. Call 800-462-0071 today.

Notes:
1. https://fortune.com/2026/01/22/gold-price-trump-taco-trade-central-banks/
2. https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/golds-record-run-gains-further-traction-market-conquers-3500oz-2025-04-22/
3. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-is-the-status-of-russias-frozen-sovereign-assets/
4. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-debt-hits-record-nearly-338-trillion-says-iif-2025-09-25/
5. https://data.imf.org/en/news/imf%20data%20brief%20december%2019
6. https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-04-07/shift-dollar-reserves-gold-not-prediction-trend-and-brics-demand-could
7. https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-04-07/shift-dollar-reserves-gold-not-prediction-trend-and-brics-demand-could
8. https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-04-07/push-and-pull-central-bank-gold-china-buys-5-tonnes-and-turkey-monetizes

Is Retirement Income Taxable?

Key Takeaways: Many types of retirement income are taxable at the federal level, particularly withdrawals from traditional 401(k)s and traditional IRAs, but taxability depends on

A Global Shock Is Driving Inflation Higher

A Global Shock Is Driving Inflation Higher

A Global Shock Is Driving Inflation Higher

Inflation Returns with Force

War in the Middle East is pushing inflation back into focus. After U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, the Strait of Hormuz was shut down, disrupting a key route for global oil. Energy prices surged, and the effects are now moving through the broader economy.

Higher fuel costs do not stay at the pump. They raise the cost of shipping, travel, and production, which then show up in everyday expenses. Gas prices have jumped from $2.98 to about $4.14 per gallon in just weeks, with diesel climbing even higher. Households already dealing with elevated costs are starting to feel that pressure more directly.1

Markets have begun to react. Major indexes have slipped into correction territory as inflation concerns return. Economists expect energy-driven price increases to continue into 2026, even if supply routes reopen.2

Rising inflation like this can erode purchasing power over time, making it an important moment to consider protecting long term savings with physical assets such as gold.

 

Inflation Regains Strength

A Global Shock Is Driving Inflation Higher

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Recent data shows inflation picking up again. The Consumer Price Index for March rose 0.9 percent month over month and 3.3 percent year over year, the largest monthly increase since 2022. Energy costs accounted for most of the rise and erased earlier progress on inflation relief. 4

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, also edged higher. While some categories remain stable, rising fuel costs tend to spread through the economy. As transportation and production expenses increase, more goods and services begin to reflect those higher costs.

Forecasts point in the same direction. The Cleveland Federal Reserve’s Inflation Nowcasting model shows inflation climbing from 2.4 percent in February to about 3.56 percent by April. The trend suggests that price pressures are building again rather than fading.5

The Federal Reserve Faces New Challenges

At the start of the year, many investors expected interest rate cuts in 2026 to support economic growth. A sustained move in inflation above 3.5 percent could change that outlook. Instead of easing, the Federal Reserve may need to keep rates higher for longer or consider raising rates.

With stock valuations near their second-highest levels since 1871, any change in inflation expectations could make equities vulnerable to a downturn.6

Economist John Cochrane from the Hoover Institution warned that poor policy choices could lead to a deeper recession. He said that “cutting rates too aggressively to stimulate growth could rekindle inflation and later force painful tightening.” Markets are increasingly aware of that risk as inflation pushes back against expectations for easier monetary policy.7

Expert Outlook on Inflation

Many economists expect inflation to rise further in the months ahead, with energy remaining a primary driver. Oil shocks often unfold in stages, which means some of the impact has yet to appear in official data.8

Even if the conflict eases, the effects may not reverse quickly. Supply chains remain strained, and energy markets can take time to stabilize. Analysts broadly expect higher prices to persist, and that conditions will not return to the pre-war status quo. They maintain that policymakers will need to adjust to a new era shaped by lasting energy-driven inflation.9

Gold Shows Resilience

Higher inflation typically supports gold as a hedge because it protects purchasing power when prices rise. Gold has remained relatively steady despite recent market swings, trading in the mid to upper $4,700 range after the March inflation report.10

However, tighter Federal Reserve policy can limit gold’s gains since higher real interest rates compete with non-yielding assets. Current market action shows a tug of war between those two forces. Inflation is giving gold support while higher-for-longer interest rates limit its momentum.

If inflation continues to climb and the dollar weakens, gold may rise higher again. If inflation stays elevated but the Federal Reserve keeps a hawkish stance, gold could pause or pull back while remaining strong over the longer term.

Conclusion

The Iran conflict has reshaped global inflation and reminded Americans why gold maintains its place as a hedge in uncertain times. Energy costs, rising inflation, and Federal Reserve uncertainty are creating conditions that can favor tangible assets over paper wealth. Owning gold provides a measure of security when markets and policies become unpredictable.

If you want to learn more about how holding physical precious metals in a Gold IRA can protect your funds from inflation, call American Hartford Gold today at 800-462-0071.

Notes
1. U.S. Energy Information Administration
2. Bloomberg Economics
3. CRFB
4. CNBC Inflation Report
5. Cleveland Fed Nowcasting
6. Robert Shiller PE Data
7. Hoover Institution
8. Bloomberg Economics
9. Brookings Economic Studies
10. Kitco